Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 15.375819 17.927660 20.705646 23.945913 27.612674 31.624264 36.335863
2025-04-06 10.767732 14.180793 18.284150 23.538475 30.041194 37.775208 47.614789
2025-04-13 7.769771 11.328442 15.970342 22.374370 30.871325 41.637950 56.172060
2025-04-20 6.578539 10.413355 15.751079 23.555504 34.475276 48.983485 69.441346
2025-04-27 5.801745 9.865465 15.846900 25.032638 38.465083 57.017808 84.117114
2025-05-04 4.958647 9.031910 15.354052 25.518780 40.999212 63.147965 96.540766
2025-05-11 4.167634 8.118160 14.572095 25.411489 42.560768 67.912412 107.260993
2025-05-18 3.467911 7.218030 13.658835 24.940103 43.446566 71.657431 116.643938
2025-05-25 2.904041 6.448039 12.835805 24.480228 44.243524 75.242632 125.922918
2025-06-01 2.437755 5.769164 12.063359 23.987248 44.890853 78.572447 134.936164
2025-06-08 1.959728 4.968120 10.944835 22.734988 44.111839 79.523247 140.208744
2025-06-15 1.816788 4.846449 11.091165 23.776470 47.338097 87.144521 156.517393
2025-06-22 1.664798 4.699032 11.211291 24.868352 50.902896 95.822756 175.517435
2025-06-29 1.378296 4.180339 10.508335 24.315223 51.490727 99.598807 186.816909
2025-07-06 1.091939 3.585739 9.539171 23.094061 50.695743 100.896817 193.990068
2025-07-13 1.015026 3.521678 9.737460 24.302883 54.644014 110.825683 216.573130
2025-07-20 0.963121 3.514952 10.065488 25.819073 59.309573 122.319693 242.494584
2025-07-27 0.859555 3.331142 9.939014 26.318109 61.965994 130.273935 262.530486
2025-08-03 0.740388 3.065820 9.564840 26.207900 63.351437 135.921948 278.685056
2025-08-10 0.623269 2.770550 9.059785 25.723823 63.893949 139.975082 292.099011
2025-08-17 0.524760 2.506129 8.587501 25.251539 64.404015 143.970531 305.580274
2025-08-24 0.440363 2.263029 8.127668 24.745221 64.780515 147.702164 318.724767
2025-08-31 0.347874 1.950786 7.401936 23.458903 63.273001 147.540011 324.375344